When
reading chapter 7 in the Boss Text, the section that was talking about
generalization stood out to me. Generalization is when we draw a conclusion
about a certain characteristic of a group or population on the basis of a
sample from the group. An example of generalization would be if you were to
sneeze whenever you are around your friend’s dog, your roommate’s dog, and even
your cousin’s dog. Based on these experiences, you would conclude that
all dogs would make you sneeze. It is said that scientists frequently use
arguments based on generalization. The use of polls, surveys, and
sampling can help you to make inductive generalizations. Polls are a type
of survey that involves collecting opinions or information on a subject from a
sample group of people for the purpose of analysis. Polls help to provide
a window into how people think and feel. Sampling entails selecting only some
members of a class or group and then making a generalization abut the whole
population that is based o the characteristics of these members. Sometimes
if the sample is too big to poll, they use what is called a representative
sample. A representative sample is one
that is similar in relevant respects to the larger population. To get a
representative sample, most professional pollsters use a method known as random
sampling. Random sampling is when every member
of the population a has an equal chance of becoming part of the sample.
Sunday, February 19, 2012
Saturday, February 18, 2012
Dr. Novella & Joe Camel Ads
Dr. Novella was able to use cause and effect inductive
reasoning to find a solution to the problem of smoking among children and
teens. She did this by relating the
cause of young people smoking with the ads.
Dr. Novella had used her ability to think critically to see that in 1988
when Joe Camel ads for Camel Cigarettes came out there was an increase in the
number of teens smoking. She noticed
that young teens were being easily persuaded into smoking because of the ads
that Joe Camel. When looking at the
number of teens that were beginning to smoke before the ads and after, she was
able to see the increased number after the ads had been published. She saw that the ads were influencing the
teens to begin smoking decided she had to do something. Because she had saw the relationship of teens
smoking with the ads, you can see that this is a cause and effect. Though she
did know for a fact that this was the reason teens were beginning to smoke, she
was able to notice a strong relationship.
Friday, February 17, 2012
Inductive Arguments
I have never realized how much I actually use inductive
reasoning in my daily life. It has become something that I do on a normal basis
even when I don’t notice. For example,
the last time I ate a mango I had an allergic reaction and I broke out with a
rash on my face. I have had mangos before but when I ate another mango recently
I broke out again. With that in mind, I
was able to conclude by inductive thinking that I am indeed allergic to mango
skin. When breaking down this situation, I was able to see that mango was the
only thing that I ate out of the ordinary. The second premise could be that
when I peeled my own mango it gave me the rash on my face. So from both of
those premises, I was able to conclude that I am allergic to mango skin. I know
that sometimes inductive reasoning can be wrong but it lead me to go to the
doctors and see if I was really allergic.
When I went to the doctors and explained everything to him, he concluded
that I was actually allergic to mango skin.
Sunday, February 12, 2012
Types of Deductive Arguments
There are 3 types of deductive argument: the arguments by
elimination, arguments based on mathematics, and arguments by definition. The argument by elimination is when you rule
out different possibilities until only one possibility remains. This type of
argument is used everyday. Physicians
are trained in this type of deductive logic especially when they are diagnosing
an illness. When they diagnosis an illness, a physician starts by doing a
physical examination and often by ordering tests. The arguments based on
mathematics are when the conclusion depends on mathematical or geometrical
calculations. For example, when you say that your dormitory is rectangular in
shape. One side measures 11 feet and the side adjacent to it measures 14 feet
in length. Some arguments based on mathematics
may be quite complex and require mathematical expertise. An argument by
definition is when the conclusion is true because it is based on a key term or
essential attribute n a definition.
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